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The goal of this paper is to examine the impact of crude oil price movements on two macro variables, the gross domestic product (GDP) growth rate and the consumer price index (CPI) inflation rate, in three countries, the People's Republic of China (an emerging economy), Japan, and the United...
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Do changes of oil prices have an effect on the stocks of oil companies in emerging markets? Do the shares of oil companies of emerging markets react to the price news in a similar way as those of the Western companies? This paper aims to answer these questions utilising various event study...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003885889
We investigate an impact of oil-price shocks on GDP and exchange rate dynamics in resource-heterogeneous economies. We employ a Markov regime-switching version of a vector autoregressive (VAR) model to allow for regime shifts, non-linear effects and timevarying parameters of the VAR process....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013369064
This paper examines the asymmetric impact of economic policy uncertainty (EPU) and oil price uncertainty (OPU) on inflation by using a Nonlinear ARDL (NARDL) model, which is compared to a benchmark linear ARDL one. Using monthly data from the 1990s until August 2022 for a number of developed and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013543029
that divergence in monetary policy regimes affects forex volatility spillovers but that adding oil to a forex portfolio … shocks dominate forex volatility connectedness, positive shocks prevail when oil and forex markets are assessed jointly …
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findings reveal over 20 statistically significant historical events that triggered abrupt and enduring increases in volatility … volatility connectedness include their negativity, unexpected nature, and the introduction of concerns about oil supply shortages. …
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