Showing 1 - 10 of 12
This study have uniquely mad use of Box-Jenkins ARIMA models to address the core of the threes objectives set out in view of the focus to add meaningful value to knowledge exploration. The outcome of the research have testify the achievements of this through successful nine months out-of-sample...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012058431
macroeconomic factors. Through five-fold cross-validation, we demonstrate that Divisia-based forecasting models reduce prediction …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015181938
In the late 90's, after severe financial and economic crisis, accompanied by inflation and exchange rate instability, Eastern Europe emerged into two groups of countries with radically contrasting monetary regimes (Currency Boards and Inflation targeting). The task of our study is to compare...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010312036
In this paper, we present a case study of the imputation in a complex household survey - the first wave of the German Panel on Household Finances (PHF). A household wealth survey has to be built on a questionnaire with rather complex logical structure mainly because the probes of many wealth...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010378326
break/change. Failure to address a structural break can lead to forecasting errors and the general unreliability of a model …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011771767
A conspicuous lacuna in the literature on Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) is the lack of clarity on variables key for driving and predicting inclusive growth. To address this, I train the machine learning algorithms for the Standard lasso, the Minimum Schwarz Bayesian Information Criterion (Minimum...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012582730
This paper attempts to examine the dependence structure of four major cryptocurrencies chosen by current market capitalisation. It is a well known fact that there is huge volatility in the prices of these cryptocurrencies. The Vine Copula model is used to get some insights about the dependence...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011894386
This paper investigates the finite sample properties of the two-step estimators of dynamic factor models when unobservable common factors are estimated by the principal components methods in the first step. Effects of the number of individual series on the estimation of an auto-regressive model...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011703787
The mantra of inclusive growth is taking over the public policy debates addressing poverty alleviation and sustained development in the developing world. In order to reduce poverty substantially, rapid pace of growth is not only necessary, but it should be sustainable in the long run and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010310640
This study examines the Granger causality between electricity consumption and Gross Domestic Product (GDP) for Pakistan using annual data covering the period 1971 to 2007. Augmented Dickey-Fuller test and Phillips-Perron test reveal that both the series, after logarithmic transformation, are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010310641