The present study reports on results emerging from the research project «Fertility and Prosperity: Links between Demography and Growth» that was commissioned to the Ifo Institute by Deutscher Arbeitskreis für Familienhilfe e.V., Kirchzarten, in December 2003. The study adopts a two-stage...

Europe trails the global frontier of productivity growth and the region's trend is sluggish. Much prospective economic growth for Europe is likely to come from AI and its adoption by European firms which is projected to shoot up the productivity trend. For such AI-generated growth to work, high...

This paper analyzes the distribution of real household incomes and consumption growth in Azerbaijan between 2004 and 2009. Decile-specific price deflators were used to calculate real incomes and consumption dynamics. The analysis, which was based on growth incidence curves, showed that economic...

Endogenous growth theory assigns an important role for entrepreneurship in the process of economic development. This paper sets to formally test the impact of entrepreneurship on economic growth. Entrepreneurship is represented by a number of proxy variables, whereas Total Factor Productivity is...

Demografieorientierte Personalmaßnahmen zielen auf eine langfristige Verbesserung der Personalstruktur und Sicherung des Fachkräftebedarfs. Dieser Langfristcharakter birgt jedoch die Gefahr, dass sie kurzfristigen Optimierungen zum Opfer fallen. Die hier vorgestellten Daten zeigen aber, dass...

In Baden-Württemberg, wie auch in Deutschland insgesamt und zahlreichen westlichen Industriestaaten, ist ein demographischer Konzentrationstrend zugunsten der Metropolregionen nachweisbar. Die Suburbanisierung als intraregionale Dekonzentration hat in den baden-württembergischen Stadtregionen...

Unless labour force participation in Europe increases enormously in the coming decades, the current demographic dynamics will pose gigantic challenges to the sustainability of public finance. Migration (and thus migration policy) can thus be seen as a central topic which will remain on top of...

Optimal forecasts are, under a squared error loss, conditional expectations of the unknown future values of interest. When stochastic demographic models are used in macroeconomic analyses, it becomes important to be able to handle updated forecasts. That is, when population development turns out...