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Optimal forecasts are, under a squared error loss, conditional expectations of the unknown future values of interest. When stochastic demographic models are used in macroeconomic analyses, it becomes important to be able to handle updated forecasts. That is, when population development turns out...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012037644
In this paper, we assess the demographic and economic consequences of migrations in Europe and neighbourhood countries. In order to do so, we rely on a multi-region world overlapping generations model (INGENUE2). The rich modeling framework of this multi-regions model allows us to put into...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011430802
In this paper, we analyze the demographic and economic consequences of endogenous migrations flows over the coming decades in a multi-regions overlapping generations general equilibrium model (INGENUE 2) in which the world is divided in ten regions. Our analysis offers a global perspective on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011430833
savings and investment, credit and housing booms in some countries and the allocation of resources towards less productive … to be reduced, which, in turn, is weakening investment and therefore weighing on growth prospects and growth potential …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011606319
In den mittel-, ost- und südosteuropäischen Ländern (MOSOEL) klafft der Ausblick für das Wirtschaftswachstum auch weiterhin auseinander für die meisten der neuen EU-Mitgliedstaaten (NMS) wird eine langsame Beschleunigung des BIP-Wachstums beginnend mit diesem Jahr erwartet. Für 2015 soll...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012100194
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010527580
Durch Bereitstellung von Krediten tragen Banken zur Transformation von Finanzkapital in Sachkapital bei. Die Kreditvergabepolitik der Schweizer Banken hat sich im vergangenen Vierteljahrhundert stark gewandelt. Basierend auf einem Datensatz (1987-2012) mit bankengruppenspezifischen Bilanzdaten...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011386830
corresponding rate with the investments. For this reason, the investment rate of companies is currently almost at the same level as … in the years 2000–2008. However, after the financial crisis the development of investment volume has been weaker in … capital in clearly better in Finland than in most other European countries. The investment rate in Finland is reduced …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012037690
The report 'Achieving Sustainable Natural Resource Management in the Sahel after the Era of Desertification' was written by Simon Bolwig, Signe Marie Cold-Ravnkilde, Kjeld Rasmussen, Tine Breinholt, and Michael Mortimore as part of a study commissioned by the Ministry of Foreign Affairs of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010283054
farmers in the short to medium term. Instead, this will require continuous investment in smallholder production and in the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014283955