Schätzungen des Produktionspotenzials und der Produktionslücke einer Volkswirtschaft sind von großer Bedeutung für die Wirtschaftspolitik. Sie spielen eine wesentliche Rolle für den Europäischen Stabilitäts- und Wachstumspakt und für die im Grundgesetz verankerte Schuldenbremse. In der...

I present empirical results on the contribution of three key drivers of inflation in Denmark: an inflation trend anchored by inflation expectations; the Danish business cycle; and an energy price cycle. All three drivers contribute significantly to the development of inflation and explain most of...

This paper investigates the potential impact of the growing influence of the opinions of credit rating agencies (CRAs) on market dynamics. This impact can be seen as a consequence of the information content of the ratings themselves or indirectly as a consequence of the "hardwiring" of ratings...

This paper – based on a report by a Task Force established by the International Relations Committee (IRC) of the European System of Central Banks (ESCB) – reviews macroeconomic and financial stability challenges for acceding (Bulgaria and Romania) and candidate countries (Croatia and...

Die Geldpolitik schenkt den Immobilienmärkten zunehmend Aufmerksamkeit, weil immer deutlicher wird, dass die Immobilienpreise sich maßgeblich auf den Konsum auswirken können. Ein wichtiges Bindeglied zwischen der Geldpolitik und den Immobilienpreisen stellen die Hypothekenmärkte dar. Die...

Die jüngste Finanzmarktkrise hat deutlich gemacht, wie eng die Verbindung zwischen Immobilienfinanzierung, Immobilienmarkt und Finanzmarkt ist. Die Immobilienmärkte in den einzelnen Volkswirtschaften reagierten jedoch sehr unterschiedlich auf Zinsveränderungen und andere makroökonomische...

This study identifies five distinctive stages of the current global financial crisis: the meltdown of the subprime mortgage market, spillovers into broader credit market, the liquidity crisis epitomized by the fallout of Northern Rock, Bear Stearns with contagion effects on other financial...

This report provides a high-level review of the degree to which the Rebuilding Ireland Home Loan (RIHL) has met its objectives. It also scopes the need for ongoing intervention, details who is applying for the scheme and assesses selected operational considerations such as credit risks, funding...

The economic development of the European Union is hampered by insufficient private and public long-term investments. This weakness is seen as a rationale for state intervention, and numerous projects are discussed and implemented to find new ways to mobilize private capital for long-term...