This study provides country-specific empirical evidence on the optimal inflation-growth threshold in the WAMZ over the … economies generally focused on exogenous approaches of determining optimal inflation which impose a sharp and most often linear … behaviour on the threshold level of inflation. This paper contributes to the policy debate on the inflationgrowth nexus by …

constrained headline inflation for a prolonged period, and there is evidence of an increase in the persistence of inflation and a …After 2012, inflation has been unexpectedly low across much of the developed world and economists speak of a “missing … inflation” puzzle, namely inflation was expected to be higher on the back of an ongoing recovery. This paper investigates the …

This paper presents the New Keynesian Phillips Curve (NKPC) -based framework for analysing euro area inflation outlook …. Our NKPC specification, that relies on market- and survey-based inflation expectations, explains well euro area inflation … long-horizons. Overall, the NKPC is a useful tool for monitoring euro area inflation outlook. Thanks to its fast and light …

This report updates and extends earlier assessments of quantitative inflation perceptions and expectations of consumers … inflation are found to be higher than actual HICP (Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices) inflation over the entire sample period … (2004-2015). The analysis shows that European consumers hold different opinions of inflation depending on their income, age …

This paper summarises the findings of the Eurosystem's Expert Group on Inflation Expectations (EGIE), which was one of … (i) reviewing the nature and behaviour of inflation expectations, with a focus on the degree of anchoring, and (ii …) exploring the role that measures of expectations can play in forecasting inflation. While it is households' and firms' inflation …

This paper provides a summary of current knowledge on inflation persistence and price stickiness in the euro area …, based on research findings that have been produced in the context of the Inflation Persistence Network. The main findings … are - i) Under the current monetary policy regime, the estimated degree of inflation persistence in the euro area is …

The paper proposes two econometric models of inflation for Azerbaijan: one based on monthly data and eclectic, another … based on quarterly data and takes into account disequilibrium at the money market. Inflation regression based on monthly … data showed that consumer prices dynamics is explained by money growth (the more money, the higher the inflation), exchange …

movements do not have an impact on inflation, as aggregate rules of thumb mask substantial heterogeneities across countries … deviations of inflation from target, including those relating to exchange rate fluctuations. Moreover, under the effective lower … inflation. …