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Current best practice in central banking views a high level of monetary policy predictability as desirable. A clear … distinction, however, has to be made between short-term and longer-term predictability. While short-term predictability can be … broader, ultimately more meaningful concept of longerterm predictability also encompasses the ability of the private sector to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011606235
This paper documents a new feature in Norges Bank's policy model NEMO, namely the ability to handle structural break points, i.e. shifts in one or more parameter values at a specific point in time. This property is introduced to enable the model to answer new policy-relevant questions, such as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012661593
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This paper evaluates different models for the short-term forecasting of real GDP growth in ten selected European countries and the euro area as a whole. Purely quarterly models are compared with models designed to exploit early releases of monthly indicators for the nowcast and forecast of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011606236
Interne Modelle in der Schadenversicherung gehen üblicherweise vom ökonomischen Kapital nach einem Jahr als zugrunde gelegter stochastischer Zielfunktion aus. Dieses basiert auf der sofortigen Realisation aller Aktiva und Passiva zu Marktpreisen, was nicht immer eine realistische Hypothese...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012317957
The EU agenda for improving competitiveness is missing in action. Economic competitiveness has been a central plank in the development of the European Union - a relentless quest for policies that lead to more prosperity and that make European companies in world markets more successful. However,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014560176
varying degrees. The results from the simulation of stylized unemployment shocks hitting labor markets suggest that the tax …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014311423
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Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010313150
Das IAB legt hiermit die Simulationsergebnisse zu seinen Schätzungen der Auswirkungen des HARTZ-IV-Gesetzes auf Arbeitslosenhilfe-Bezieher vor1. Die Simulationen beruhen auf den Haushaltsdaten der Einkommens- und Verbrauchsstichprobe für das erste Halbjahr 20032 (EVS2003). Die Simulationen...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010262846