This paper argues that the implications of globalization for monetary policy come mainly through two channels: On the one hand, the many structural changes, which are associated with the globalization process, cause an increase in uncertainty surrounding monetary policy. This leads to an...

This study examines the effects of bilateral exchange rate on trade flows in the WAMZ and assesses the role of complementarity trade structures in enhancing intra-WAMZ trade. The modified gravity model is used to assess whether efforts by WAMZ countries to facilitate transactions in national...

This paper explores offshoring of firms’ research and development functions. Our analysis employs a previously untapped and unique Eurostat International Sourcing Survey. The results are easy to summarize. First, the magnitude of R&D offshoring is small. Second, a large majority of R&D is...

To benefit from the newly established EU Recovery and Resilience Facility (RRF), the Visegrád countries - Czechia, Slovakia, Hungary, and Poland - have submitted their national recovery plans. The Czech and Slovak plans have already been approved by the EU, paving the way for the up-front...

The Visegrád economies have been hit hard by the COVID-19 pandemic, especially its second wave. In response, macroeconomic policies have been markedly relaxed, with fiscal stimulus packages reaching up to 14% of GDP in Poland and Czechia. The projected recovery of the Visegrád economies from...

Over the past decade, geopolitical developments - and the policy responses to these by major economies around the world - have challenged economic openness and the process of globalisation, with implications for the economic environment in which central banks operate. The return of war to Europe...

Die deutsche Wirtschaft befindet sich infolge von Angebots- und Nachfrageschocks in einer breit angelegten Rezession. Vorerst wird kein Ende der russischen Invasion in der Ukraine erwartet. Daraus ergeben sich hohe Risiken hinsichtlich einer umfassenden Energieversorgung in Deutschland und hohe...

Die Aussichten für die Weltkonjunktur haben sich aufgrund der geopolitischen Lage, der weltweiten Energieund Rohstoffprobleme und der dadurch hohen Inflation deutlich eingetrübt. Eine nachlassende Konjunktur in China und in den fortgeschrittenen Volkswirtschaften sorgt für eine Verlangsamung...

Ein namhafter Aufschwung der deutschen Wirtschaft findet im Jahr 2023 nicht statt. Das reale Bruttoinlandsprodukt wird zwar nach der Winterpause im Jahresverlauf wieder zulegen. Das Konjunkturtempo wird zum Jahresende jedoch wieder nachlassen, wenngleich eine erneute Winterrezession derzeit...