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Energy forecasts are widely used by the U.S. government, politicians, think tanks,and utility companies. While short …-term forecasts were reasonably accurate, medium andlong-range forecasts have almost always been highly erroneous. In the U.S. many … energypolicy decisions are driven by Annual Energy Outlook (AEO) forecasts prepared byEnergy Information Association (EIA). This …
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underestimate the range ofuncertainty in oil and gas price forecasts. These forecasts traditionally considerpessimistic, most …
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The dissertation includes four studies broadly connected to the causes and consequences of the Global Financial Crisis of 2007-8 from a political economy perspective. Following the intro-duction, Chapter 2 analyzes the political roots of massive foreign reserves accumulation, which has...
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This study is concerned with investigating the structural relationship between stockmarkets and economic variables in different countries. In investigating the relationships, the following six questions are posed:- Are stock markets in the United States, the United Kingdom, West Germany, France,...
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rebuild the internationalmonetary system. From 1946 until August 15, 1971, major currencies were fixed tothe US dollar, and … allow the dollar to float against gold and world currencies.The Nixon tapes, the series of personal recordings made during …
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This thesis seeks to develop an alternative conceptual framework through which to understand international finance. It then applies this framework to the case of China’s recent official foreign exchange accumulation. One view of international financial relations suggests an agendaof...
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My dissertation consists of three essays on international capital flows. In the first essay, titled "Do small firms benefit more from foreign portfolio investment? Evidence from a Natural Experiment," I test whether an increase in the supply of foreign portfolio capital benefits small firms by...
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