This dissertation consists of three essays that have a common focus on the econometrics of survey expectations data. Such data play a crucial role in economics. First, as most decisions depend on expectations, these data facilitate a better understanding of economic dynamics. Second, survey data...

Die vorliegende Dissertation befasst sich mit probabilistischen Prognosen, die seit einigen Jahren ein aktives ökonometrisches Forschungsgebiet darstellen. Da solche Prognosen eine vollständige Verteilung für die interessierende Zufallsvariable angeben, beinhalten sie Information über...

This dissertation consists of two parts. The first part introduces a neural network approach that is used to forecast the conditional probability density function of asset returns. The model is unified with the idea of Arbitrage Pricing Theory (APT). In the second part, an algorithm called...

Studies of the value relevance of accounting number in capital market research are consistent with the simple view that, in equilibrium, book values are equal to or have some long-term relationship with market values, and that market returns are related to book returns. This dissertation...

In this dissertation three essays were presented. In the first two essays we measure theconsumer welfare changes caused by U.S. meat price changes. In the third essay thedynamic structure of international gasoline prices using the time series methodology isinvestigated.In chapter II, we...

The objective of this thesis is to estimate the natural gas component of the All Urban Consumer Price Index (CP-U) using time series forecasting models. Being able to accurately predict future CPI-U values is important because it allows portfolio managers and financial institutions to properly...

Hochdimensionale Regressionsprobleme, die sich dynamisch entwickeln, sind in zahlreichen Bereichen der Wissenschaft anzutreffen. Die Dynamik eines solchen komplexen Systems wird typischerweise mittels der Zeitreiheneigenschaften einer geringen Anzahl von Faktoren analysiert. Diese Faktoren...

This dissertation studies the question of nonlinearities in the Phillips curve relationshipin France, Germany and Italy. The implications from the theoretical models are that themechanisms that make the Phillips curve nonlinear can work through different channels.Therefore, this thesis not just...