An increasing number of central banks manage market expectations via interest rate projections. Typically, those projections are updated only quarterly and thus, may become stale when new information enters the market. We use data from New Zealand to investigate the time-varying and...

Änderungen der Notenbankzinsen sind in Deutschland wie in allen anderen westlichen Industrieländern das zentrale Instrument der Geldpolitik. Sie stellen den ersten Schritt im monetären Transmissionsprozeß dar. Die wichtigsten Notenbankzinsen sind in Deutschland der Pensionssatz, der...

This paper compares the effectiveness of date- and state-based forward guidance issued by the Federal Reserve since mid-2011 accounting for the influence of disagreement within the FOMC. Effectiveness is investigated through the lens of interest rates’ sensitivity to macroeconomic news and I...

This paper aims at discovering the decision rule the Governing Council of the ECB uses to set interest rates. We construct a Taylor rule for each member of the council and for the euro area as a whole, and aggregate the interest rates they produce using several classes of decision-making...