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Forecasting economic decisions under risk : the predictive importance of choice-process data
Mueller, Steffen Q.; Ring, Patrick; Schmidt, Maria - 2019 - Version: January 2019
We investigate various statistical methods for forecasting risky choices and identify important decision predictors …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011964372
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Manipulating reliance on intuition reduces risk and ambiguity aversion
Butler, Jeffrey; Guiso, Luigi; Jappelli, Tullio - 2013
Prior research suggests that those who rely on intuition rather than effortful reasoning when making decisions are less averse to risk and ambiguity. The evidence is largely correlational, however, leaving open the question of the direction of causality. In this paper, we present experimental...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010200793
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Decision making under uncertainty : a theory of satisficing behavior
Kelles, Gerard J. - 1993
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10000856698
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Arousal and economic decision making
Jahedi, Salar; Deck, Cary A.; Ariely, Dan - 2016
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011486285
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Decision making in times of uncertainty : an info-gap perspective
Ben-Haim, Yakov; Demertzis, Maria - 2015
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011391549
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Risk related brain regions detected with 3D image FPCA
Chen, Ying; Härdle, Wolfgang; Qiang, He; Majer, Piotr - 2015
Risk attitude and perception is reflected in brain reactions during RPID experiments. Given the fMRI data, an important research question is how to detect risk related regions and to investigate the relation between risk preferences and brain activity. Conventional methods are often insensitive...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010529349
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Calibration of quantum decision theory, aversion to large losses and predictability of probabilistic choices
Vincent, Sabine; Jukalov, Vjačeslav I.; Kovalenko, Tatyana - 2016
We present the first calibration of quantum decision theory (QDT) to an empirical data set. The data comprise 91 …. The prediction of choice reversal is then refined by introducing heterogeneity between decision makers through a … differentiation of the population into two similar sized groups in terms of "over-confident" and "contrarian" decision makers. This …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011516615
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Groups, group members and individuals : choices and impulses in repeated risky decisions
Hart, Einav; Marciano, Déborah; Winter, Eyal - 2017
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011809458
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Quantum decision theory in simple risky choices
Favre, Maroussia; Wittwer, Amrei; Heinimann, Hans Rudolf; … - 2016
Quantum decision theory (QDT) is a recently developed theory of decision making based on the mathematics of Hilbert … decision making. QDT describes a decision maker's choice as a stochastic event occurring with a probability that is the sum of … subjectivity on decision makers, the quarter law. We examine individual and aggregated (group) data, and find that the results are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011514496
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Risk and rationality: the relative importance of probability weighting and choice set dependence
Bruhin, Adrian; Manai, Maha; Santos-Pinto, Luís - 2018
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011919043