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This paper adumbrates a theory of what might be going wrong in the monetary SVAR literature and provides supporting … empirical evidence. The theory is that macroeconomists may be attempting to identify structural forms that do not exist, given …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009269228
Using federal funds futures data, we show the importance of surprise communication as a component of monetary policy for U.S. macro variables, both before and after 2008. While Gürkaynak et al. (2005) stress the importance of monetary policy communication for asset prices, much of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011938122
Central banks have usually employed short-term rates as the main instrument of monetary policy. In the last decades, however, forward guidance has also become a central tool for monetary policy. In an innovative way this paper combines two sources of extraneous information - high frequency...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012295693
policy analysis. It suggests that the best method of solving the puzzle implies a close connection between theory and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011585346
This paper identifies a precautionary banking liquidity shock via a set of sign, zero and forecast variance … restrictions imposed. The shock proxies the reluctance of the banking sector to "lend" to the real economy induced by an exogenous … change in financial intermediaries' preference for "high" liquid assets. The identified shock has sizeable and state …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012483779
residuals of the policy rule equation at these shock dates accordingly. In spite of its utmost agnostic nature, this approach …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012288003
residuals of the policy rule equation at these shock dates accordingly. In spite of its utmost agnostic nature, this approach …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012292801
We identify structural vector autoregressions using narrative sign restrictions. Narrative sign restrictions constrain the structural shocks and the historical decomposition around key historical events, ensuring that they agree with the established narrative account of these episodes. Using...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011570683
-robust approach is proposed to construct estimation and inference. Thirdly, this paper suggests a procedure to derive theory …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012037315
Epstein-Zin preferences to study the volatility implications of a monetary policy shock. An unexpected increases in the policy … volatility effects of the shock are driven by agents' concern about the (in)ability of the monetary authority to reverse …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011389786