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other sources of sluggishness to explain the observed high inflation persistence. Second, we confront empirically our fair … inflation outcomes …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011506620
countries with high inflation, the output effects of monetary policies are significantly reduced. A lot of variation in the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011449687
regime driven by the exchange rate and a third one with inflation targeting. The result is a CVAR with constant long … framework, inflation dynamics in Mexico since the country abandoned the gold standard. The model encompasses known results … parsimonious, it does not require inflation lags nor dummy variables. It also displays a very good pseudo out-of-sample forecasting …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011759587
This paper imagines a world in which countries are on the Bitcoin standard, a monetary system in which all media of exchange are Bitcoin or are backed by it. The paper explores the similarities and differences between the Bitcoin standard and the gold standard and describes the media of exchange...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011446194
The paper integrates the two-pillar Phillips curve, which explains expected inflation by the money growth trend, within … distinguished from which one derives inflation expectations from money growth trend figures whereas the other builds rational … expectations by way of learning. The inspection of output and inflation variances show that a policy of reacting to excess money …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010206408
This paper assesses the proximate causes of the post pandemic surge in US inflation, the Federal Reserve's real time …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014337754
interest rates, exchange rate growth, and inflation. We then decompose the Swiss long-term interest rate trend into various … decline in the level of inflation. Comparing Switzerland with the rest of the world, we show that while Swiss real interest … connection between inflation risk and the Swiss term spread, as well between relative inflation risk and the difference between …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013175583
In this paper we argue that both statistics and economic theory-based evidence largely indicate the absence of long run relationships between the real output and the most relevant monetary indicator for the U.K. and the U.S, short term interest rates. These findings are not only a full sample...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604480
The paper studies the inflation rate associated with optimal monetary and fiscal policy in a number of standard dynamic …, optimal inflation policy requires the validation, that is, the full accommodation of core producer inflation by actual … producer price inflation;(2) Optimal monetary policy implements Bailey-Friedman optimal quantity of money rule. No welfare …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604655
This paper estimates a Bayesian VAR for the US economy which includes a housing sector and addresses the following questions. Can developments in the housing sector be explained on the basis of developments in real and nominal GDP and interest rates? What are the effects of housing demand shocks...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604937