Forecasting the world economy is a difficult task given the complex interrelationships within and across countries …, first, at ranking various forecasting methods in terms of forecast accuracy and, second, at checking whether methods … forecasting directly aggregate variables (direct approaches) outperform methods based on the aggregation of country …

between migration and fertility into a forecasting model. Next to the detailed and stochastic quantification of age …

agreed. In short, forecasting inflation is of foremost importance to households, businesses, and policymakers. In 2016, the …

of country-specific determinants. This paper shows empirically the superiority of direct forecasting methods, in which …

Forecasting the world economy is a difficult task given the complex interrelationships within and across countries …, first, at ranking various forecasting methods in terms of forecast accuracy and, second, at checking whether methods … forecasting di- rectly aggregate variables (direct approaches)out-perform methods based on the aggregation of country- specific …