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We investigate the uncertainty dynamics surrounding extreme weather events through the lens of option and stock markets by identifying market responses to the uncertainty regarding both potential hurricane landfall and subsequent economic impact. Stock options on firms with establishments...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012181922
We introduce Implied Volatility Duration (IVD) as a new measure for the timing of uncertainty resolution, with a high IVD corresponding to late resolution. Portfolio sorts on a large cross-section of stocks indicate that investors demand on average more than five percent return per year as a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012157194
In this paper, we propose a novel approach on how to estimate systemic risk and identify its key determinants. For all … affected if the tail risk of the financial sector increases. We find that key accounting and market valuation metrics such as … risk profile of a financial institution. In contrast to earlier studies, the employed panel vector autoregression (PVAR …
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This paper examines the cross-dynamics of volatility term structures implied by foreign exchange options. The data used in the empirical analysis consist of daily observations of implied volatilities for OTC options on the euro, Japanese yen, British pound, Swiss franc, and Canadian dollar,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604576
This paper presents empirical evidence that the corporate bond market is forward looking with respect to volatility. I use the Merton (1974) model to calculate a measure of implied volatility from corporate bond yield spreads. I find that corporate bond transaction prices contain substantial...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604846
The effectiveness of the foreign exchange market interventions conducted by the Deutsche Bundesbank during the Louvre period to alter either the level or the volatility of the $/DM spot rate is examined. Volatility quotes implicit in foreign currency options are employed to recover the impact of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010260625