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This paper provides an outlook for the Indian economy in the light of the extraordinary global financial crisis, that started in the US, but which has now transformed into the worst economic downturn since the Great Depression. The Indian economy was slowing down even before the onset of global...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011807640
important for analyzing and forecasting economic activity. Since financial stress is not directly observable but is presumably …-of-sample forecasting accuracy for real GDP growth in Germany compared to a model without the indicator and other forecast benchmarks. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010286071
Despite signs of recovery from the global financial crisis, the GDP growth rate for the Indian economy is likely to be between 5.8 to 6.1 per cent in 2009-10, below the 6.7 per cent recorded in fiscal 2008-09. While there has been an improvement in Indian industry, particularly the manufacturing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011807647
We study a model of human capital driven growth, where the parent's human capital serves as a productive input in the child's human capital production only when that of the former exceeds a minimum level required to intellectually contribute to the child's learning. Private and public...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011418615
In Ghate & Wright Journal of Development Economics, vol. 99 (2012) pp 58-67, we noted that there was considerable variation in the extent to which different Indian states participated in the Great Indian Growth Turnaround. In this paper we investigate whether there was any systematic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011807667
We study the sectoral allocation of public infrastructure investments in the agriculture and manufacturing sectors in India. In addition to the changing employment and output shares of these two sectors, the capital output ratio in agriculture in India has fallen, while it has risen in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011807668
We study a model of human capital driven growth, where the parent's human capital serves as a productive input in the child's human capital production only when that of the former exceeds a minimum level required to intellectually contribute to the child's learning. Private and public...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010479959
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014366154
Using a panel fixed effects model for a sample of 121 countries covering 1975 ]2005, we examine how financial development, financial liberalization and banking crises are related to income inequality. In contrast with most previous work, our results suggest that all finance variables increase...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011555521
We analyze a novel feedback mechanism between market and funding liquidity that causes self-fulfilling liquidity dry-ups. Financial firms facing funding withdrawals have an incentive to acquire information about their assets. Those with good assets gain by resorting to outside liquidity sources...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011580443