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In this paper we investigate the role of news shocks in aggregate fluctuations by comparing the empirical performance of models with and without the feature of the news shocks. We found a trivial difference between the two models. That is, the model with news shocks explains the variation as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011787141
A number of studies have found that news shocks account for a large part of the aggregate fl uctuations of the main macroeconomic variables.We show that when taking rational expectations into consideration there is a limit on the size of the variance of the news shocks,which has not been...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011758913
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. We document two new facts using VAR methods. First, a (positive) shock to future TFP generates a significant decline in …, VAR methods also establish a tight link between TFP news shocks and shocks that explain the majority of un … for the propagation of news shocks. A DSGE model enriched with a financial sector generates very similar quantitative …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012373126
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012501472
rely on a New Keynesian DSGE model with a banking sector in which we introduce imperfect information about a limited …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010517143
This paper shows how the average maturity of corporate bonds can affect the transmission of shocks if financial frictions prevail. We modify a standard financial accelerator model à la Bernanke, Gertler, and Gilchrist (1999) and allow for market-based debt which has a market-determined price....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010357605
-based nonfundamentalness, thereby hampering shock identification via VAR methods. This notwithstanding, restricted DNK models are shown to …Recent structural VAR studies of the monetary transmission mechanism have voiced concerns about the use of recursive … feature (i) invertible equilibrium representations for the observables and (ii) fast-converging VAR coefficient matrices under …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012501242
One of the leading methods of estimating the structural parameters of DSGE models is the VAR-based impulse response … matching estimator. The existing asymptotic theory for this estimator does not cover situations in which the number of impulse … response parameters exceeds the number of VAR model parameters. Situations in which this order condition is violated arise …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011418016
The Chicago Fed dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) model is used for policy analysis and forecasting at the … accelerator mechanism. -- New Keynesian model ; DSGE ; forecasting ; policy analysis …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009581477