This paper examines the degree of persistence in UK inflation by applying long-memory methods to historical data that … evolution over time. On the whole, the evidence suggests that the degree of persistence of UK inflation has been relatively … detect any shifts in the degree of persistence, and also run rolling-window and recursive regressions to investigate its …

the Phillips curve over time. We consider different specifications and different measures for inflation. Furthermore, we … include stochastic volatility for the observation errors. Our estimation results are based on practical Bayesian state space ….S. headline inflation has remained empirically relevant over the years. …

, particularly at 12 months. We find that this autocorrelation in monthly inflation leads to significant persistence in the headline …In this paper we model monthly UK inflation and find that there is some small but significant autocorrelation … annual inflation figure. A one-off shock to monthly inflation will have an effect on the headline figure equal to 10% of the …

In general, central banks are concerned with keeping the inflation rate stable while also sustaining output close to an … efficient level. Under "inflation targeting", forecasts of the evolution of the general price level are an essential input for … policy decisions and these are usually released in quarterly "Inflation Reports". The costs and benefits of transparency in …

inflation are co-breaking. We argue that the step-like development of inflation is in line with shocks and monetary policy that …% inflation was accomplished by introducing an inflation targeting regime. …

A statistically significant relationship between the unemployment gap and inflation can be found for a clear majority … slack on inflation can often be dominated by other shocks, including imported inflation. The current Secretariat Phillips … curve specification assumes inflation expectations are anchored at the central bank’s target, although some experimentation …

This paper examines the degree of persistence in UK inflation by applying long-memory methods to historical data that … evolution over time. On the whole, the evidence suggests that the degree of persistence of UK inflation has been relatively … detect any shifts in the degree of persistence, and also run rolling-window and recursive regressions to investigate its …