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Using novel data on military spending for 129 countries in the period 1988-2013, this paper provides new evidence on the effects of government spending on output in advanced and developing countries. Identifying government-spending shocks with an exogenous variation in military spending, we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011992297
Much of the research on fiscal multipliers has used reduced form modelling approaches. While these models have been extended to include richer controls and identification approaches, it remains unclear whether shocks identified capture the true structural shocks. An alternative way to identify...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012241962
closely related to the harshness of fiscal austerity. Cumulative multiplier estimates are found to vary in a range from 1.4 to … 2.1, depending on the data source used to identify the intensity of fiscal consolidation. Given these multiplier values …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011778844
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011796241
The paper describes a semistructural macrofiscal approach to simulating and forecasting macroeconomic policies. Our canonical model is adapted to Cambodia and we demonstrate its application with an illustrative scenario of macroeconomic effects of the Covid-19 pandemic. Complemented with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012391950
This paper shows that the fiscal multiplier for purchases of durable and investment goods is very small - much smaller … than the multiplier for nondurable goods. Standard models predict small durables multipliers because private sector …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011573302
This paper estimates the macroeconomic effects of government spending shocks in New Zealand. Using a structural vector autoregression (SVAR) model, I find small output multipliers for government consumption but large multipliers for government investment. Importantly, the real exchange rate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012548884
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011527260
in the previous literature based on U.S. data - we find that the pooled government spending multiplier is small: below 0 ….2. This estimate, however, masks substantial heterogeneity: the debtfinanced spending multiplier is larger and can be well … above 1 if monetary policy is accommodative. The multiplier is especially large in recessions and when the government …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011305775
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011796089