In diesem Beitrag wird mit dem Strukturwandel zugunsten des Dienstleistungssektors und der wachsenden Polarisierung der Einkommensverteilung die Interaktion zweier ökonomischer "Megatrends" betrachtet. Im Mittelpunkt stehen dabei die sozialen Konsequenzen der "Baumol'schen Kostenkrankheit", von...

The year 2017 marks the 50th anniversary of William J. Baumol’s seminal model of ‘unbalanced growth’, which predicts the so-called ‘Growth Disease’, i.e., the tendency of aggregate productivity growth to slow down in the process of tertiarisation. In an important contribution published...

In diesem Beitrag wird mit dem Strukturwandel zugunsten des Dienstleistungssektors und der wachsenden Polarisierung der Einkommensverteilung die Interaktion zweier ökonomischer "Megatrends" betrachtet. Im Mittelpunkt stehen dabei die sozialen Konsequenzen der "Baumol'schen Kostenkrankheit", von...

The year 2017 marks the 50th anniversary of William J. Baumol’s seminal model of "unbalanced growth", which predicts the so-called "Growth Disease", i.e., the tendency of aggregate productivity growth to slow down in the process of tertiarisation. In an important contribution published in...

The labour share of income in national product has shown a declining trend in many advanced economies over the past 30 years. However, many economists still hold the view that the wage share remains almost constant in the long run. The notion of the relative stability of the wage share in the...

Macroeconomic data are indispensable for modern governance, yet it is often unclear how reliable these data are. The production process of macroeconomic data inside the statistical offices is often not very transparent for the general public. Bystanders usually have no choice but to take for...

In a recent paper I argued that Baumol's (1967) model of "unbalanced growth" offers a ready explanation for the observed secular rise in health care expenditure (HCE) in rich countries (HARTWIG 2006). Baumol's model implies that HCE is driven by wage increases in excess of productivity growth. I...

A large body of both theoretical and empirical literature has affirmed a positive impact of human capital accumulation in the form of health on economic growth. Yet Baumol (1967) has presented a model in which imbalances in productivity growth between a "progressive" (manufacturing) sector and a...

The share of health care expenditure in GDP rises rapidly in virtually all OECD countries, causing increasing concern among politicians and the general public. Yet, economists have to date failed to reach an agreement on what the main determinants of this development are. This paper revisits...

The paper proposes a new test of endogenous vs. exogenous growth theories based on the Granger-causality methodology and applies it to a panel of 20 OECD countries. The test yields divergent evidence with respect to physical and human capital. For physical capital, the test results favor...