Showing 1 - 10 of 143,307
forecasts and probabilistic prediction intervals for demographic parameters in addition. Age-sex specific population forecast …-specific population forecast using the cohort-component method. The consequence for the German pension system is discussed. To maintain …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003814452
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010442493
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003835607
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003431967
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011590210
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014232250
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012134834
, migration and mortality to forecast the population by age and sex. We specifically focus on quantifying the uncertainty of … forecast is quantified as prediction intervals for each subgroup. The underlying models for forecasting the demographic … likelihoods. The model is applied to forecast the population of Germany until 2040. The results indicate a larger future …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011912101
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012432639
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10000952839