2008 US presidential election, the first political campaign where the internet played a key role. Drawing on data from the …

in major commodity-producing countries. We do not observe significant changes in risk premiums before elections …

We examine whether employment discrimination increased after the 2016 presidential election in the United States. We … ethnicity (Somali American, African American, and white American). Prior to the 2016 election, employers contacted Somali … American applicants slightly less than white applicants but more than African American applicants. After the election, the …

This paper documents that surprise election outcomes - measured as deviations between realised vote shares and expected … vote shares based on a newly constructed dataset of opinion polls and party and candidate vote shares close to election day … higher surprise is associated with a 0.37 percentage point lower year-on-year growth rate one year after the election. These …