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This paper explores the role of speculation and economy fundamentals in the oil market using a two-component GARCH …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011413340
focused on the definition of speculation while others examined the relationship between oil prices and the behavior of trading … shale oil production, the importance of speculation in ensuring an equilibrium in the US crude oil market has consequently …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010532119
This paper provides an analysis of the link between the global market for crude oil and oil futures risk premium at the aggregate level. It off ers empirical evidence on whether the compensation for risk required by the speculators depends on the type of the structural shock of interest....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011794500
While some of the recent surge of oil prices can be attributed to robust global demand at a time of tight production capacities, commentators occasionally also blame the impact of speculators for part of the price pressure. We propose an empirical oil market model with heterogeneous speculators....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003794310
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009713836
This paper deals with three aspects of spectacular oil price episodes such as the one witnessed in 2008. First, the concept of temporary explosiveness is proposed as an empirical method for capturing this type of behavior. The application of a recently proposed recursive unit root test shows...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009786017
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003780274
What is the role of financial speculation in determining the real oil price? We find that while macroeconomic shocks … a much larger role for financial shocks than previously noted in the literature. -- Oil Price ; Financial speculation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009506394
that financial speculation caused the run-up in oil prices. Yet several arguments cast doubt on the validity of this claim …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009161423
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012244799