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We study the economic sources of stock-bond return comovement and its time variation using a dynamic factor model. We … dynamics of stock-bond return correlations poorly. Alternative factors, such as liquidity proxies, help explain the residual …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011617371
I provide evidence that risks in macroeconomic fundamentals contain valuable information about bond risk premia. I … account for up to 31% of the variation in excess bond returns. The main predictor factors are associated with point … unemployment rate. In addition, factors provide information about bond risk premia variation that is largely unrelated to that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010478516
Many bond portfolio managers argue that bond laddering tends to outperform other bond investment strategies because it … reduces both market price risk and reinvestment risk for a bond portfolio in the presence of interest rate uncertainty …. Despite the popularity of bond ladders as a strategy for managing investments in fixed-income securities, there is surprising …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003966082
pricing channel in addition to any direct dissemination impact. TRACE-associated improvement in bond valuation precision …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010207843
is most needed. We examine bond correlation using a broad sample of US corporate bonds. We find bond correlation to be … higher during the financial crisis in 2008. Increased bond correlation results from higher correlation between corporate bond … risk factors. Risk factor correlation increases when investor sentiment worsens. This suggests that corporate bond …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009777926
We study the economic sources of stock-bond return comovement and its time variation using a dynamic factor model. We … dynamics of stock-bond return correlations poorly. Alternative factors, such as liquidity proxies, help explain the residual …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011506640
show that it can jointly account for a high mean value of bond and equity premium without compromising the fit of the model …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010490844
We build a novel macro-finance model that combines a semi-structural macroeconomic module with arbitrage-free yield-curve dynamics. We estimate it for the United States and the euro area using a Bayesian approach and jointly infer the real equilibrium interest rate (r*), trend inflation (π*),...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012705391
We present a theory in which limited risk sharing of idiosyncratic labor income risk plays a key role in determining … current labor market conditions (as measured by labor market tightness or the job-finding rate) and future bond excess returns …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012308514
Theory predicts that the equilibrium real interest rate, r*t, and the perceived trend in inflation, ð*t, are key …*t substantially increases the accuracy of long-range interest rate forecasts, helps predict excess bond returns, improves estimates of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011688099