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Identifying the German Inventory Cycle : A Multivariate Structural Time Series Approach Using Survey Data

Langmantel, Erich - In: Jahrbücher für Nationalökonomie und Statistik 225 (2005) 6, pp. 675-687

Summary Inventory fluctuations play an important role in the formation of business cycles. In Germany, little research has been dedicated to this topic recently. In this study, a structural time series model in the tradition of Harvey (1989) is employed to decompose German inventory investment...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014609076

Assessing the Rationality of Survey Expectations: The Probability Approach

Breitung, Jörg - In: Jahrbücher für Nationalökonomie und Statistik 228 (2008) 5-6, pp. 630-643

Summary This paper considers popular methods for the quantification of survey expectations. We investigate the asymptotic properties of two variants of the probability approach originally suggested by Carlson and Parkin (1975). It is argued that the traditional method can be interpreted as an...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014609214

Regressive Oil Price Expectations Toward More Fundamental Values of the Oil Price

Reitz, Stefan; Rülke, Jan-Christoph; Stadtmann, Georg - In: Jahrbücher für Nationalökonomie und Statistik 230 (2010) 4, pp. 454-466

Summary We use oil price forecasts from the Consensus Economic Forecast poll for the time period Oct. 1989 - Dec. 2008 to analyze how forecasters form their expectations. Our findings indicate that the extrapolative as well as the regressive expectation formation hypothesis play a role. Standard...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014609296

Firms’ Evaluation of Location Quality: Evidence from East Germany

Eickelpasch, Alexander; Hirte, Georg; Stephan, Andreas - In: Jahrbücher für Nationalökonomie und Statistik 236 (2016) 2, pp. 241-273

Abstract Our study provides evidence for firms’ evaluation of location quality. We use a 2004 survey of 6,000 East German firms that contained questions on the importance and assessment of 15 different location factors ranging from closeness to customers and suppliers, transport...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014609910

Determinants of Business Fixed Investment: Evidence from German Firm-Level Data

Buettner, Thiess; Hoenig, Anja - In: Jahrbücher für Nationalökonomie und Statistik 236 (2016) 5, pp. 533-556

Abstract This paper employs a novel firm-level dataset that combines financial accounts of German firms with data from a business survey to shed new light on the demand for capital. The empirical analysis employs firm-specific indicators in order to explore the effects of sales, the cost of...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014609922

Effective information collection on international inbound visitors

Wu, Wu‐Chung; Dai, You‐De; Jack Liu, Hsiou‐Hsiang - In: International Journal of Culture, Tourism and … 6 (2012) 1, pp. 54-69

Purpose – Data collection from inbound tourists is a repetitive activity. This paper's main purpose is to show that, unless something useful about the nature of change is being established, repetitious collection of data from, for example, inbound visitors results in ineffective accumulation...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014768323

Internal control effectiveness – a clustering approach

Länsiluoto, Aapo; Jokipii, Annukka; Eklund, Tomas - In: Managerial Auditing Journal 31 (2016) 1, pp. 5-34

Purpose – This study aims to examine and visualize the adopted internal control structure and effectiveness in firms and present a typology of firms. Control structure and effectiveness are measured based on the assessment of management, rather than using reported material weaknesses as most...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014930123

Supply risk management: model development and empirical analysis

Kern, Daniel; Moser, Roger; Hartmann, Evi; Moder, Marco - In: International Journal of Physical Distribution & … 42 (2012) 1, pp. 60-82

Purpose – The purpose of this paper is to develop a model for upstream supply chain risk management linking risk identification, risk assessment and risk mitigation to risk performance and validate the model empirically. The effect of a continuous improvement process on identification,...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014793875

Micro-Level Estimation of Child Undernutrition Indicators in Cambodia

Fujii, Tomoki - In: The World Bank Economic Review 24 (2010) 3, pp. 520-553

One major limitation to addressing child undernutrition is a lack of the information required to target resources. This article extends the small-area estimation technique of Elbers, Lanjouw, and Lanjouw (2002, 2003) to jointly estimate multiple equations while allowing for individual-specific...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015360618

DemoImpact: Modeling, Forecasting and Managing the Impact of Major US Sociodemographic Trends on Multi-Category Snack Consumption

Girju, Marina M; Adams, Michelle J; Ratchford, Brian - In: Review of Marketing Science 8 (2010) 2

. We examine how these major shifts affect snack consumption and, therefore, how Consumer Packaged Goods (CPG … consumption forecasting model and decision support system for all snacks available on the US market (900+). It captures the … of significant holidays and seasons. DemoImpact is built on 6 years of historical snack consumption and uses the US …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014619505