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Globalisierung und die Prognose des deutschen Außenhandels / Forecasting Germany’s Exports and Imports in the Era of Globalization
Strauß, Hubert - In: Jahrbücher für Nationalökonomie und Statistik 223 (2003) 2, pp. 176-203
Zusammenfassung Handelsliberalisierung und Globalisierung haben dazu geführt, dass der Welthandel deutlich schneller …Summary Globalization has increased the differential between growth of world trade volumes and growth of world GDP … model for exports and the one for imports are each derived from a 4 × 4-vector-error correction model in which one co-integration …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014608928
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Short Run Comovement, Persistent Shocks and the Business Cycle / Eine empirische Analyse der Wirkung kurz- und langfristiger Schocks im Konjunkturzyklus
Breitung, Jörg; Heinemann, Maik - In: Jahrbücher für Nationalökonomie und Statistik 217 (1998) 4, pp. 436-448
Summary Following standard real business cycle theory, long run economic growth and short run business cycle fluctuations are attributed to a series of productivity shocks propagated by the economic system which is assumed to be in a rational expectations equilibrium. Characterizing the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014608617
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Economic Impacts of the New European Banana Market Regime: The Case of Germany / Ökonomische Auswirkungen der neuen Bananenmarktordnung: Das Beispiel Deutschland
Herrmann, Roland - In: Jahrbücher für Nationalökonomie und Statistik 218 (1999) 1-2, pp. 63-84
Summary The objectives of this paper are (i) to assess the actual economic implications of the new European banana policy on prices, consumption and trade in Germany within a theoretical and quantitative analysis; (ii) to elaborate the welfare implications of the European banana market policy on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014608652
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Die Entwicklung der Unternehmensinvestitionen in Deutschland / Firm Investment Behaviour in Germany
Dreger, Christian; Brautzsch, Hans-Ulrich - In: Jahrbücher für Nationalökonomie und Statistik 219 (1999) 3-4, pp. 284-297
saisonalen Kointegration im Rahmen eines multivariaten Fehlerkorrekturmodells angewendet, das neben den Investitionen die Exporte …-seasonal adjusted data from 1968 to 1989. The empirical analysis is based on cointegration techniques using the multivariate error … investment series. Given this result, the evidence for cointegration relationships at the seasonal frequencies is rather weak …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014608697
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Blood, Sweat, and Tears: The Rise and Decline of the East German Economy, 1949–1988 / Blut, Schweiß, Tränen: Aufstieg und Niedergang der ostdeutschen Wirtschaft, 1949–1988
Blum, Ulrich; Dudley, Leonard - In: Jahrbücher für Nationalökonomie und Statistik 220 (2000) 4, pp. 438-452
Summary The rise of the East-German economy in the 1950s and 1960s and its decline in the 1970s and 1980s is difficult to explain by neoclassical economics. However; the observed life cycle may be explained by the inclusion of concepts from old and new institutional economics and from functional...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014608780
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Inflationäre Schocks in Deutschland: Eine Common Trends Analyse / Inflationary Shocks in Germany: A Common Trends Analysis
Carstensen, Kai; Hansen, Gerd - In: Jahrbücher für Nationalökonomie und Statistik 224 (2004) 3, pp. 271-291
-LM model of the open economy, we conduct a cointegration analysis from which we obtain plausible long-run relationships. In the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014608971
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Sources of German Unemployment: Evidence from a Structural VAR Model / Die Hintergründe deutscher Arbeitslosigkeit: Evidenz von einem Strukturellen VAR
Linzert, Tobias - In: Jahrbücher für Nationalökonomie und Statistik 224 (2004) 3, pp. 317-336
first step, a cointegration analysis of productivity, prices, real wages, employment, and the unemployment rate reveals two …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014608973
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Estimating Supply and Demand Functions in International Trade: A Multivariate Cointegration Analysis for Germany / Die Schätzung von Angebots- und Nachfragefunktionen im Außenhande...
Meurers, Martin - In: Jahrbücher für Nationalökonomie und Statistik 224 (2004) 5, pp. 530-556
Summary In this paper aggregate supply and demand functions for Germany’s imports and exports are estimated for the period 1975:1–1999:4. Previous studies are extended in two regards: First, the multivariate estimation technique of Johansen (1988, 1991) is employed, which helps to avoid the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014608985
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Exportdiversifizierung und Wirtschaftswachstum in Chile / Export Diversification and Economic Growth in Chile
Herzer, Dierk - In: Jahrbücher für Nationalökonomie und Statistik 225 (2005) 2, pp. 163-180
Prozesse verwendet: Der Test auf Kointegration erfolgt auf Basis der Trace-Statistik des Johansen-Verfahrens. Zusätzlich wird … for cointegration between the integrated series of order 1 the multivariate cointegration methodology proposed by Johansen …-run relationship between the variables and to provide a further test of cointegration. The dynamic OLS procedure is applied to allow …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014609037
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The laffer curve and the debt-growth link in low-income Sub-Saharan African economies
Megersa, Kelbesa Abdisa - In: Journal of Economic Studies 42 (2015) 5, pp. 878-892
results in the paper present evidence of a bell-shaped relationship between economic growth and total public debt in a panel …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014864307