Purpose – The purpose of this paper is to forecast Fiji's exports and imports for the period 2003‐2020. Design/methodology/approach – To achieve the goal of this paper, the autoregressive moving average with explanatory variables (ARMAX) model was applied. To this end, the paper drew on...

Purpose – This paper aims to examine the export‐led growth hypothesis for Fiji and Papua New Guinea (PNG). Design/methodology/approach – The paper investigates the export‐led growth hypothesis for Fiji and PNG who have been facing dismal economic growth performances over the last couple...

Purpose – This paper aims to investigate the integrational properties of real GDP for 125 countries. Design/methodology/approach – The paper applies the Kwiatkowski et al. univariate test and a KPSS‐type univariate test that accounts for multiple structural breaks – a test procedure...

Purpose – This paper aims to estimate a disaggregated import demand model for Fiji using relative prices, total consumption, investment expenditure and export expenditure variables for the period 1970 to 2000. Design/methodology/approach – The recently developed bounds testing approach to...

Purpose – This paper aims to delineate the short‐ and long‐run relationships between savings, real interest rate, income, current account deficits (CADs) and age dependency ratio in Fiji using cointegration and error correction models over the period 1968‐2000....

Purpose – Understanding the relationship between government revenue and government expenditure is important from a policy point of view, especially for a country like Fiji, which is suffering from persistent budget deficits. The aim of this paper is to investigate the relationship between...

Purpose – The main purpose of this paper is to provide an overview of the main institutional and governance issues facing the Pacific Island countries (PIC) and to point out how they affect their economic performance. The paper also provides a description of the key characteristics of the PIC...

Purpose – The purpose of this paper is to articulate the etiology of ethnic conflict in Fiji that moves beyond polemical interpretations which routinely and often erroneously apportion blame. Design/methodology/approach – A critical survey of ethnic conflict between in Indo‐ and indigenous...

Purpose – The purpose of this paper is to examine the time series properties of 26 macroeconomic variables in Papua New Guinea (PNG) over the period 1970‐2006. Design/methodology/approach – Both unit root and stationarity tests without a structural break and the Lagrange Multiplier (LM)...

Purpose – Under the fixed exchange rate regime Fiji's currency, which is pegged to a basket of currencies of its major trading partners, has been experiencing severe pressures. The purpose of this paper is to study annual exchange market pressure (EMP) over a 31‐year (1975‐2005) period and...