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introduced and adaptive inflation expectations are assumed, an accelerationist Phillips curve emerges: because of debt deflation …, an increase in the rate of inflation reduces firms' real debt burden; because of the negative link between real debt and … employment, unemployment falls. The natural rate of unemployment is the rate that occurs when inflation is constant. Frisch has …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014608777
Abstract During the 1990s economic expansion, the United States enjoyed both low inflation and low unemployment. Juhn … whether Phillips curve relationships between real compensation growth, changes in inflation, and labor market slackness are … labor market slackness do as well as men’s in explaining real compensation growth and changes in inflation after 1983.  …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014586835
Abstract A number of hypotheses have been proposed to account for the role of lagged inflation in the New Keynesian … the need for lagged inflation. I address the empirical support for these hypotheses and find that none eliminates the need … for lagged inflation. In particular, lagged inflation enters with a coefficient in the range of 0.4 to 0.5, regardless of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014588452
a standard Phillips curve, the sum of coefficients associated with expected inflation is far below unity, whatever … measure of expected inflation rates is employed. Therefore, either the NAIRU concept is not applicable to Germany or, as it is … our suggestion, one estimates the unemployment rate that is compatible with a tolerable inflation rate of say 2 percent …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014609206
the Phillips Curve relationship between inflation and output. Design/methodology/approach – Building on work by Ball and …‐run relationship between inflation and output. However, a long‐run relationship is in fact found, once the variance and skew of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014863298
Purpose The paper aims to know about energy condition’s impacts on inflation comprehensively. Design … can predict China’s inflation well. Originality/value China’s ECI can predict China’s inflation well.  …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014773821
regression models and provide a discussion of the impact on the formation of inflation expectations in the presence of multiple … and recurrent changes in inflation regimes. Our empirical findings give a plausible explanation as to why the rational …-expectations hypothesis based on direct measures of inflation expectations from survey series is typically rejected because of large …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014620835
Purpose – The aim of this paper is to construct a historical index for the New Zealand stock markets going back to 1899. From these historical returns, the authors can extract the average capital gains and dividend yield. It also allows them to provide an estimate for the equity risk premium...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014969129
policy uncertainty and inflation expectations) influence micro-level (instead of macro-level) behavioral dynamics exhibited … the short run, inflation expectations tend to have a significant positive impact on both non-durable goods and service … that economic policy uncertainty, unlike inflation expectations, tends to constrain consumption expenditures at all micro …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014867206
Summary This paper is devoted to a new estimation of the non-accelerating inflation rate of unemployment (NAIRU) for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014608832