Showing 78,711 - 78,720 of 79,351
The World Economic Outlook (WEO) is a key source of forecasts of global economic conditions. It is therefore important to review the performance of these forecasts against both actual outcomes and alternative forecasts. This paper conducts a series of statistical tests to evaluate the quality of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014401878
inflation. The results also suggest that a disequilibrium in the money market has a lasting impact on inflation. The paper …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014401879
This paper aims to improve the understanding of U.S. inflation dynamics by separating out structural from cyclical … effects using frequency domain techniques. Most empirical studies of inflation dynamics do not distinguish between secular and …) and new Keynesian Phillips curve (NKPC) models of inflation, and conclude that the long-run secular decline in inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014401975
Inflation-targeting central banks have a respectable track record at explaining their policy actions and corresponding … inflation outturns. Using a simple forward-looking policy rule and an assessment of inflation reports, we provide a new … methodology for the empirical evaluation of consistency in central bank communication. We find that the three communication tools-inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014401995
Central bank financial strength is positively associated with good policy performance. Financially weak central banks generate losses which undermine macroeconomic stability and call into question the credibility of their policies. In assessing central bank financial strength a careful...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014402002
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001861210
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015080055
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015080082
This paper examines the effects of inflation and associated financial instability on income distribution. Using both … pooled cross country and single country time series models, the level of inflation, inflation variability, and the … measures of income distribution, the issue as to whether inflation is a progressive or regressive tax is found to be negatively …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014397959
This paper studies the effect of inflation on the operation of financial markets, and shows how the ability of … financial intermediaries to distinguish among heterogenous firms is reduced as inflation rises. This point is illustrated by … presenting a simple model where inflation affects firms’ productivity. In particular, productivity differentials narrow as …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014397999