Used to investigate the presence of distinctive recurrent behaviours in natural processes, the recurrence plots can be applied to the analysis of economic data, and, in particular, to the characterization of exchange rates of currencies too. In this paper, we will show that these plots are able...

This paper deals with hysteresis in the desired equilibrium exchange rate (DEER) arising from misalignment. When the actual real exchange rate departs from its DEER value current account realizations--and consequently debt service obligations--will differ from those assumed in the initial DEER...

The recent financial crisis has troubled the US, Europe, and beyond, and is indicative of the integrated world in which we live. Today, transactions take place with the use of foreign currencies, and their values affect the nations' economies and their citizens' welfare. Exchange Rates and...

This paper provides a selective overview of puzzles in exchange rate economics. We begin with the forward bias puzzle: high interest rate currencies appreciate when one might guess that investors would demand higher interest rates on currencies expected to fall in value. We then analyse the...

In managed floats, central banks often intervene in the foreign exchange market to obtain politically desirable exchange rates. How this is done has remained totally opaque although central banks are likely to adopt a satisfying rather than optimizing strategy since they need to intervene...

This paper studies how the interaction between the monetary policy regime and the degree of home bias in public consumption affects the exchange‐rate response to fiscal shocks in a generalized version of the Redux model of Obstfeld and Rogoff ([M. Obstfeld, 1995]). We show that the joint...

This paper re-investigates the implications of monetary policy rules on changes in exchange rate, in a risk-adjusted, uncovered interest parity model with unrestricted parameters, emphasizing the importance of modeling market expectations of monetary policy. I use consensus forecasts as a proxy...

Factor analysis performed on a panel of 23 nominal exchange rates from January 1999 to December 2010 yields three common factors. This paper identifies the euro/dollar, Swiss-franc/dollar and yen/dollar exchange rates as empirical counterparts to these common factors. These empirical factors...

În ultimele decenii, utilizarea cursurilor valutare drept ancore nominale de fixare a preţurilor pare să cunoască un declin. Totuşi, pentru unele ţări, ţintirea cursurilor valutare ar putea fi o soluţie la actualele circumstanţe. În această lucrare vom aborda câteva elemente...