While investment in most sectors declines in response to a contractionary monetary policy shock, investment in the manufacturing sector increases. Using manually digitized aggregate income and balance sheet data for the universe of US manufacturing firms, I show this increase is driven by the...

We propose a production-cost smoothing model with Knightian uncertainty and ambiguityaversion to study the joint behavior of production, inventories, and sales. Our model canexplain four facts that previous studies find difficult to account for simultaneously: (i) the highvolatility of...

Outlying observations can bias regression estimates, requiring the use of robust estimators. Comparing robust estimates to those obtained using OLS is a common robustness check, however, such comparisons have been mostly informal due to the lack of available tests. Here we introduce a formal...

This chapter investigates the impact of the imposition of sanctions for employing illegal migrants on the welfare of native laborers. In response to such sanctions, managers in a firm may be reassigned from the supervision of production to the verification of the legality of the firm’s labor...

This paper considers tradable mobility permit schemes in a monocentric city with a distorting labor tax. Three schemes are analyzed, that differ by the (spatial) allocation of permits to households. Numerical results show that the scheme with permits allocated in proportion to labor supply...

We find that, in democratic regimes with unlimited reelection, the answer to the question posed above is in the affirmative, contrasting a widely held view. The reason is that resource windfalls increase future graft prospects, motivating opportunistic incumbents to postpone their planned...

A novel hybrid Autoregressive Distributed Lag Mixed Data Sampling (ARDL-MIDAS) model is developed that integrates a combination of both deep neural network multi-head attention Transformer mechanisms and sophisticated stochastic text time-series feature and covariate constructions into a...

Individual investors typically determine their asset allocation using investor questionnaires, which can be viewed as black boxes that generate a result without highlighting the benefits and costs of the portfolios considered. This article introduces an asset allocation tool, the gain-pain index...

Modeling cross-sectional correlations between thousands of stocks, acrosscountries and industries, can be challenging. In this paper, we demonstratethe advantages of using Hierarchical Principal Component Analysis (HPCA)over the classic PCA. We also introduce a statistical clustering algorithmto...

This paper studies the optimal design of second-best corrective regulation, when some agents or activities cannot be perfectly regulated. We show that policy elasticities and Pigouvian wedges are sufficient statistics to characterize the marginal welfare impact of regulatory policies in a large...