Since the beginning of the 1990s, the USA has – for the first time since the end of World War II – held the "leadership" in the growth dynamic of the "Triad": between 1991 and 1996, the USA's GDP grew at a yearly rate of 2.9 percent – almost twice as quickly as Europe's (+1.6 percent)....

The two biggest elements of uncertainty of a medium-term forecast of the world economy, concern exchange rates, particularly between the Euro and the dollar, as well as crude oil prices. The WIFO basic scenario makes the following assumptions: the Euro exchange rate versus the dollar will drop...

The world economy continues to expand at a vigorous rate for the fifth year in a row, with real output growth exceeding 5 percent. Downside risks to global economic activity have increased mainly because of the aggravation of the real estate crisis in the USA, where real estate prices have been...

Growth of the world economy is projected to accelerate during the next five years. Assuming low dollar interest and exchange rates as well as only moderately rising prices for raw materials the real rate of interest on international debt may be as low as 1 percent. In such a setting world output...

The study investigates the profitability of 1,024 moving average and momentum models and their components in the yen/dollar market. It turns out that all models would have been profitable between 1976 and 1999. The pattern of profitability is as follows: the models produce more single losses...

The medium-term growth rate of the world economy is set to rise markedly. Between 2003 and 2008 world GDP is expected to expand on average by 4.0 percent per year, and world trade to increase by 6.1 percent per year. The highest growth rate should be achieved by the non-oil developing countries...

At present it is not possible to gauge the extent of the financial and economic crisis in South-East Asia. The effect of this crisis on Austria will, however, remain marginal: there are few direct trade links between Austria and the countries in question (exports to these countries amount only...

The study analyzes the interaction between the trading behaviour of 1024 moving average and momentum models and the fluctuations of the yen/dollar exchange rate. I show first that these models would have exploited exchange rate trends quite profitably between 1976 and 2007. I then show that the...