Purpose - The purpose of this study is to investigate the relationship between oil price changes and the output growth in Turkey. Design/methodology/approach - The data were taken from International Financial Statistics databases, consisting of monthly data for the period 1986:01-2014:09....

This article summarizes the main findings on problems related to the measurement and identification of business cycles. The aim of this study is to define and identify the determinants of business cycles. This paper provides an overview of the methodology and its future course. Our investigation...

Paper deals with the analysis of investment in the business cycle. Analysis is based on available quarterly data for the Czech Republic since 1st quarter 1999 till 1st quarter 2014. It concludes that investment on the macroeconomic level is highly pro-cyclical component of demand, which...

This study argues that increasing malinvestment in an economy raises the actual credit risk but not the calculated credit risk until the onset of a recession. To this end, I analyse the relationship between credit risk and malinvestment in Germany, Spain, and Italy using a credit risk indicator...

By using nonparametric and panel data econometrics, this paper reassesses the effect of both the current level of economic activity and of future expected demand on the dynamics of the price mark-up over marginal cost in US manufacturing industries from 1958 to 1996. Consistently with previous...

Capital market investors’ capability to forecast the central bank interest rate is critical, since the latter serves as an anchor for many economic transactions. Financial-economics literature shows that the short-term forward rate is a crucial factor considered by investors in the expectation...

As a rule, the economy regularly undergoes various phases, from a recession up to expansion. This paper is focused on models predicting corporate financial distress. Its aim is to analyze impact of individual phases of the economic cycle on final scores of the prediction models. The prediction...

A new ammonia-water power cycle (AWPC) basing on Kalina cycle is presented in this paper, which supply an effective way for low-moderate temperature geothermal power in China. The thermodynamic models of AWPC are established considering of the ratio of power generation as the optimization...