Sensitivity analysis assesses the influence of input parameters on the conclusion of a model. Traditional analysis methods—based on evaluating the model at a reference parameter vector and changing one parameter at a time—are local, linear, and usually do not capture interactions among the...

I study inverse probability weighted M-estimation under a general missing data scheme. The cases covered that do not previously appear in the literature include M-estimation with missing data due to a censored survival time, propensity score estimation of the average treatment effect for linear...

This paper derives conditions under which the well-known decomposition of unconditional expected utility into marginal probabilities and conditional expected utility generalizes to Cumulative Prospect Theory, as well as updating rules for probability weighting functions. The results are, for...

In monetary policy strategies geared towards maintaining price stability conditional and unconditional forecasts of inflation and output play an important role. In this paper we illustrate how modern sticky-price dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) models, estimated using Bayesian...

In this paper we study Binomial Models with random time steps. We explain, how calculating values for European and American Call and Put options is straightforward for the Random-Time Binomial Model. We present the conditions to ensure weak-convergence to the Black-Scholes setup and convergence...

This paper explores the statistical properties of household consumption-expenditurebudget share distributions —defined as the share of household total expenditure spentfor purchasing a specific category of commodities— for a large sample of Italianhouseholds in the period 1989-2004. We find...

We study how the framework of classical game theory changes whenthe preferences of the players are described by Prospect Theory (PT)and Cumulative Prospect Theory (CPT) instead of Expected UtilityTheory. Specically, we study the inuence of framing eects and probabilityweighting on the existence...