Recent developments in the Western Hemisphere-that is, the United States/Canada and Latin America and the Caribbean (LAC)-have been dominated by the impact of two distinct global shocks: the COVID-19 pandemic and then the Russian invasion of Ukraine. A third shock-the tightening of financial...

In a worsening global environment, economies in the Middle East and Central Asia are being buffeted by a confluence of shocks: a global slowdown, high and volatile food and energy prices, faster and stronger than expected tightening of financial conditions, and the risk of fragmentation. The...

The war in Ukraine is taking a growing toll on Europe's economies. The worsening energy crisis has depressed households' purchasing power and raised firms' costs, only partly offset by new government support. Central banks in the region and the world are acting more forcefully to bring high and...

After the strong rebound of 6.5 percent posted in 2021, growth in Asia and Pacific is expected to moderate to 4.0 percent in 2022 amid an uncertain global environment and rise to 4.3 percent in 2023. Inflation has risen above most central bank targets, but is expected to peak in late 2022. As...

The paper describes the Quarterly Projection Model (QPM) that underlies the Bank of Ghana Forecasting and Policy Analysis System (FPAS). The New Keynesian semi-structural model incorporates the main features of the Ghanaian economy, transmission channels and policy framework, including an...

A tentative recovery in 2021 has been followed by increasingly gloomy developments in 2022 as risks began to materialize. Global output contracted in the second quarter of this year, owing to downturns in China and Russia, while US consumer spending undershot expectations. Several shocks have...

Volkswirtschaftliche Zusammenhänge und individuelles Empfinden sind im alltäglichen Tagesablauf häufig "sehr widersprüchlich". "Sehr widersprüchlich" ist dabei "gelinde" formuliert. Die Widersprüche im Alltag sind zumeist so eklatant, dass Antworten, die uns angeboten werden - sei es durch...

Drei Dinge wissen wir: Der Kapitalismus hat den Feudalismus abgelöst; seither durchlief er zyklische Tiefs, spätestens seit 2008 stottert der Motor. Was wir nicht wissen: Erleben wir eine der üblichen Krisen oder den Anbruch einer postkapitalistischen Ordnung? Paul Mason blickt auf die Daten,...