We contend that information not yet considered by the extant research can significantly contribute to bankruptcy prediction, and investigate a possible association between abnormal changes in book-tax differences (BTDs) and bankruptcy. Using a hazard model and out of sample testing as in Shumway...

Several indicators and univariate ratios can be used to measure the soundness of firms as reflected in their balance sheets (leverage, profitability, liquidity ratio, etc.). However, each indicator alone cannot measure a firm's overall financial risk or financial distress level. In this study,...

We are the first to examine whether exogenous shocks cause personal bankruptcy through the balance sheet channel and/or the income statement channel. For identification, we examine the effect of exogenous, politically motivated government payments on 200,000 Canadian bankruptcy filings. We find...

In this paper, we test the predictive power of neural networks to predict corporate bankruptcy. In contrast with the previous literature, we not only use nontraditional models and employ accounting ratios, but also market and microstructure variables. The most important findings are that market...