Using urban household surveys, we constructed a panel dataset to study the effects of the Argentine macroeconomic crisis of 1999-2002 with the aim of (1) identifying the most vulnerable households, (2) investigating whether employment in the public sector and government spending served to...

In times of distress when a country loses access to markets, there is evidence that credit default swap (CDS) spreads are a leading indicator for sovereign risk than the EMBI+ sub-index for the country. However, it is not easy to discern the variables that determine the level of CDS spreads in...

This paper offers an in-depth review of the institutional arrangements underlying existing currency boards (CBAs) in Argentina (until 2001), Eastern Europe, and Asia. An index of precommitment is derived from an analysis of legislative frameworks and monetary policy operations. The index covers...

Strong growth in investment made a key contribution to the economic recovery in Argentina earlier this decade. The paper uses firm-level data to assess changes in financing constraints and the linkages between real investment at the firm level and macroeconomic developments in the real exchange...

This report evaluates the role of the IMF in Argentina during 1991-2001, focusing particularly on the period of crisis management from 2000 until early 2002. The primary purpose of the evaluation is to draw lessons for the IMF in its future operational work. The evaluation suggests ten lessons,...

This paper examines Argentina’s Second Review Under the Stand-By Arrangement and Requests for Modification and Waiver of Performance Criteria. The economy is recovering rapidly, while inflation remains subdued. Strengthening consumer and business confidence and cautious monetary and fiscal...

Good progress has been made in stabilizing the economic and social situation since the crisis. Fiscal adjustment over a prolonged period will bring the public finances to a sustainable path. To protect social expenditures and allow higher public investment, a comprehensive tax reform is...

Domestic and external factors combined to bring about the loss of confidence in Argentina that triggered the debt default and the crisis. Restoring confidence in legal certainty has been a major challenge for Argentina. The fiscal program is centered on maintaining tight control over primary...

Sound macroeconomic policies are key to improving market sentiment and smoothing the political transition. Implementation of structural reforms has been disappointing. The introduction of a further stay on mortgage foreclosures sends a highly negative signal about the protection of creditor...

This 2005 Article IV Consultation highlights that Argentina’s economy has rebounded strongly from the financial crisis in late 2001. Reflecting buoyant domestic demand, real GDP grew close to 9 percent in both 2003 and 2004, bringing real output level back to the peak level achieved prior to...