The method of instrumental variables (IV) and the generalized method of moments (GMM) and their applications to the estimation of errors-in-variables and simultaneous equations models in econometrics require data on a sufficient number of instrumental variables which are (insert space)both...

The paper provides new evidence on the causal relationship between money and price for the euro area using quarterly data for the period 1980 to 2006, employing two alternative methods of estimation: the vector error correction (VEC) and time-varying coefficient (TVC) estimation techniques. The...

We examine the behaviour of Dickey Fuller test (DF) in the case of noisy data using Monte Carlo simulation. The findings show clearly that the size distortion of DF test becomes larger as the noise increases in the data.

This paper illustrates the importance of density forecasting in portfolio decision making involving bonds of different maturities. The forecast performance of an atheoretic and a theory informed model of bond returns is evaluated. The decision making environment is fully described for an...

In this paper, we evaluate the forecast performance of a range of atheoretic and theory informed models of bond and stock returns. The decision making environment is fully described for an investor who would like to optimally allocate his portfolio between bonds and stocks, over an investment...