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appearances may have positive effects on both a candidate's vote share and the level of voter turnout on election day. I conclude …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013133259
Failure to take into account “strategic retirement” - incumbents choosing to retire rather than face difficult reelection fights - leads to inflated estimates of the incumbency advantage. The one attempt to address this issue in the context of U.S. House elections implies that much of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013139592
This paper analyzes stock market reactions to election polls. Stock markets anticipate the impact of events on future … cash flows. Current values depend on future cash flows and risk prospects. We posit that election polls are indications of … election, we hypothesize that stock market reacts negatively to the prospect of Barack Obama winning the election. We test this …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013120263
We investigate the influence of electoral rules and voter information in elections on voting outcomes and the quality of public officials, using new data on state court judge elections in 39 states in the U.S. from 1990 to 2010. We find, first, that voting is very partisan in partisan judicial...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013100995
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013093363
Examining voter learning in the 2006 US midterm elections, this study explores the relationships among motivation, media exposure, attention, elaboration, and knowledge gain in an expanded cognitive mediation model. The model characterizes voter learning from the news as a process driven by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013151939
candidate wins the election according to the electoral college, but loses the popular vote. We then consider how this likelihood …. We conclude that rising polarization of political beliefs leading up to the 2020 election has made these two election …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012838255
Much of the public discourse and media analysis of the surprise outcome of the 2016 US presidential election has …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012954552
Approximately one in forty adult U.S. citizens has lost their right to vote, either temporarily or permanently, as a result of a felony conviction. Because laws restricting voting by felons and ex-felons disproportionately affect minorities, and minorities tend to vote for Democratic candidates,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012960879