Summary The protracted recession in the euro area will continue to be a drag on the economic growth of most CESEE countries in 2013. By and large, those countries are small open economies held hostage to the excessive fiscal austerity pursued in the euro area and the sluggish progress on the...

It is textbook knowledge that economic crises are in most cases associated with the accumulation of macroeconomic imbalances. In turn, macroeconomic imbalances emerge as the result of imbalanced growth. In the ideal world of equilibrium, all macroeconomic variables change at the same,...

Bulgaria negative economic sentiment prevails (by Rumen Dobrinsky) Croatia no upturn yet (by Hermine Vidovic) Czech Republic heading for a change (by Leon Podkaminer) Estonia consumers keep growth alive (by Sebastian Leitner) Hungary the well-known pre-election tunes are played again (by Sándor...

Summary This paper analyses the speed and patterns of economic convergence in the new EU Member States of Central and Eastern Europe during transition and the first years of EU membership. After a brief discussion of measurement and data issues, the paper provides stylised facts on growth and...

Bulgaria economic sluggishness expected to drag on (by Rumen Dobrinsky; pp. 1-3) Keywords economic forecasts, GDP growth, inflation Countries covered Bulgaria Topics Macroeconomic Analysis and Policy Czech Republic deepening recession(by Leon Podkaminer; pp. 4-6) Keywords economic forecasts, GDP...

Summary Continued weak external demand and uncertain recovery of investments will allow for only modest growth prospects for the countries of Central, East and Southeast Europe (CESEE) this year. Slovenia, Croatia and the Czech Republic will remain in recession. Russia, Ukraine and the Baltic...

Table Overview 2013 and outlook 2014-2016 (p. 1) Figure 2013 estimate and 2014 forecast for CESEE growth drivers (p. 2) Bulgaria upcoming early elections take centre stage (by Rumen Dobrinsky; p. 3) Croatia recession continues (by Hermine Vidovic; p. 4) Czech Republic fiscal relaxation to...

This series of enterprise case studies grew out from a 1995-1996 research project at IIASA. It acknowledged the importance of export development for the recovery of the economies of Central and Eastern Europe following their deep transformational recession in 1990-1994. The main goal was a...