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The USAGE model for the United States is used to quantify economic costs due to stock mispricing, made operational by shocking Tobin’s q. The simulations quantify a potentially large impact even in the most favorable environment, where export demand holds up, and, the dollar is pro-cyclical. A...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009411626
Fifty years ago the Norwegian economist, Leif Johansen, gave us what is now recognised as the first CGE model. While Johansen was first, he is not the father of the whole field. CGE modelling in different styles sprang largely independently from several sources. This paper describes how...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009411627
We simulate the effects of a hypothetical H1N1 epidemic in the U.S. using a quarterly CGE model. Quarterly periodicity allows us to capture the short-run nature of an epidemic. We find potentially severe economic effects in the peak quarter. Averaged over the epidemic year the effects are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009411628
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President Obamas National Export Initiative is targeted at doubling U.S. exports between 2010 and 2015. We apply USAGE to quantify what the NEI would need to do to foreign importdemand curves and domestic export-supply curves to achieve this target. USAGE is a dynamic economy-wide model of the...
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