In exchange rate target zone models the commitment of policymakers to intervene at the boundaries of the band gives rise to speculation which stabilizes exchange rates within the band. The empirical implications of such stochastic process switching are discussed and their relevance for the...

This paper attempts to identify implicit exchange-rate regimes for currencies of candidate countries vis-à-vis the euro. To that end, we apply three sequential procedures that consider the dynamics of exchange rates to data covering the period from 1999:01 to 2012:12. Our results would suggest...

In this paper we develop an empirical model of exchange rates in a target zone. The model is general enough to nest most theoretical and empirical models in the existing literature. We find evidence of two types of jumps in exchange rates. Realignment jumps are those that are associated with the...

Empirical work on exchange-rate behavior under a target-zone regime has used data produced by the European Monetary System (ENS) and has found that the data contradict important predictions made by the standard target-zone model. We argue that the contradictions reflect a misinterpretation of...

In the context of a flexible-price monetary exchange rate model and the assumption of uncovered interest parity, we obtain a measure of the fundamental determinant of exchange rates. Daily data for the European Monetary System are used to explore the importance of non-linearities in the...

A credible target zone exchange rate regime with a given exchange rate band implies bounds on the amount of depreciation and appreciation of the domestic currency. This implies, for given foreign interest rates, bounds on the domestic-currency rate of return on foreign investment: a...

The paper provides an explanation to the policy of implicit exchange rate bands. Especially when introducing a new exchange rate band or modifying the old one, central banks often intervene intra-marginally, targeting a narrower band than that announced. The theoretical literature provides...

Two recent issues in the world economy have been the emergence of regional trade blocs and the increasing extent of international financial deregulation. Direction of trade data are used to look at the evolution of regional trade patterns in Europe, North America and East Asia, and saving...