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: Donald Trump oder Kamala Harris. Das Wahlergebnis könnte den Kurs der USA in mehreren Bereichen ändern, die weitreichende … viel auf dem Spiel. Die Wirtschaftsverflechtungen zwischen den USA und der EU sind sehr tiefgreifend, nicht nur aufgrund … der engen Handelsbeziehungen, sondern auch aufgrund der Bedeutung der USA als geopolitischer Akteur und ihrer maßgeblichen …
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We propose and apply a new approach for analyzing the effects of fiscal policy using vector autoregressions. Unlike most of the previous literature this approach does not require that the contemporaneous reaction of some variables to fiscal policy shocks be set to zero or need additional...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010263594
This paper proposes estimating causalities in bilateral international trade in simultaneous systems, including domestic and foreign GDP as well as mutual trade flows. Conventional macroeconomic theory mainly follows partial approaches like import functions or exportled growth. Focusing on the US...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010263683
The subject of this paper tackles questions of macroeconomic integration of the South-East Asian countries South Korea, Singapore and Taiwan. Economically, the analysis is based on notions of stochastic long-run convergence and business cycle synchrony in the GDPs. According tests for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010263684
This paper demonstrates effects of economic convergence processes on the foreign exchange behaviour in a monetary modelling approach. Since the exchange rate represents the relative price of two currencies, commonness of stochastic trends between the fundamental determinants of supply and demand...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010263691
We use dynamic panel analysis to examine whether credit rating agencies achieve what they claim to achieve, namely, look into the future when assigning their ratings. We find that Moody's ratings help predict individual financial ratios over a horizon of up to five years. Ratings also predict a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010263694
A small strand of recent literature is occupied with identifying simultaneity in multiple equation systems through autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity. Since this approach assumes that the structural innovations are uncorrelated, any contemporaneous connection of the endogenous...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010263718
A large body of literature explains the inferior position of unskilled workers by imposing a structural shift in the labor force skill composition. This paper takes a different approach by emphasizing the connection between cyclical variations in skilled and unskilled labor markets. Using a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010263725