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We develop a quantitative theoretical model of firm dynamics to analyze key determinants of the elasticity of exports with respect to the exchange rate. The model incorporates mechanisms that determine the firms? capacity to react when the profitability of exports change due to fluctuations in...
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unemployment, several European economies display highly persistent unemployment dynamics. The theory of hysteresis challenges this …Despite conventional macroeconomic theory is based on the idea that demand shocks can only have temporary effects on … strong empirical evidence of unemployment hysteresis in advanced economies since the 1990s. Relying on an identification …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012130633
, recessions generate long-lasting hysteresis: persistent decreases in the employment-to-population ratio and earnings per capita …. Changes in the composition of workers explain less than half of local hysteresis. We further show that finite sample bias in … hysteresis in employment rates. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012214828
In light of the rising political and economic uncertainty in Europe, we aim to provide a basic understanding of the impact of economic policy uncertainty and financial market uncertainty on a set of macroeconomic variables such as production, consumption and investment. In this paper, we apply a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011761787
We present a model in which temporary shocks can permanently scar the economy's productive capacity. Unemployed workers lose skill and are expensive to retrain, generating multiple steady state unemployment rates. Large temporary shocks push the economy into a liquidity trap, generating...
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