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bound (ZLB) on nominal interest rates has on the recommendations of such policy-makers. For a given target inflation rate … face in practice. We also examine the implications of the ZLB for policy-makers’ preferences as to their inflation target … neutral real interest rate is low. Such policy-makers should also set a higher target inflation rate if the economy’s natural …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005423553
The decline in output volatility in a number of countries over the past few decades has been well-documented, though less agreement has been reached about the causes of this decline. In this paper, we use a panel of data from 20 OECD countries to see if there is a role for various indicators of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005423569
Almost a decade ago David Gruen and Geoff Shuetrim constructed a small macroeconomic model of the Australian economy. A comprehensive description of this model was subsequently provided by Beechey <em>et al</em> (2000). Since that time, however, the model has continued to evolve. This paper provides an...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005423570
information, the model is estimated on data for the United States and Australia using Bayesian methods. The empirical exercise … Australia is a relatively small and open economy. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005423572
imply that both inflation and real variables must ‘jump’ in response to monetary policy (and other) shocks, in contrast to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005423583
We estimate an open economy dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) model of Australia with a number of shocks … important drivers of the Australian business cycle. We also find that the initial impact on inflation of an increase in demand … positive effect on inflation that dominates at longer horizons. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005423599
In an open economy inflation-targeting framework, whether policy-makers should target aggregate or non-traded inflation … inflation process that the paper suggests have occurred over the past two decades: the effect of exchange rate changes on … inflation appears to have become more muted and the inflation process appears to have become better anchored. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005423601
It has been argued that the effect of a change in the monetary policy interest rate on aggregate demand may be larger at higher levels of indebtedness through its impact on cash flows. However, the extent of credit constraints may be at least as important, if not more so. In particular, monetary...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005423609
In practice, monetary policy changes tend to produce a smooth path for interest rates while the path of policy interest rates generated by models is often considerably more variable. This paper investigates whether the inclusion of uncertainty can help reconcile the theory to the practice. It...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005423612
inflation. It identifies some of the characteristics shared by countries which have suffered falling output in the aftermath of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005423613