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In this paper, we show that the monetary rule followed by a number of key countries before 1914 represented a commitment technology preventing the monetary authorities from changing planned future policy. The experiences of these major countries suggest that the gold standard was intended as a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005428356
-third of the inflation moderation and 13% of the growth moderation, while smaller oil shocks accounted for 11% of the inflation … moderation and 7% of the growth moderation. This notwithstanding, better monetary policy explains the bulk of the inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005428360
with low credibility (high persistence of inflation) tend to have better predictability. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005428369
of inflation observed in the 1970s. On the basis of their analysis, the authors argue for a rule that 1) raises the … nominal interest rate more than one-for-one with a rise in inflation; and 2) does not change the interest rate in response to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005428373
The authors show that in a plausibly calibrated monetary model with explicit production, exogenous money growth rules ensure real determinacy and thus avoid sunspot fluctuations. Although it is theoretically possible to construct examples in which real indeterminacy does arise, these examples...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005428374
evaluate quantitatively the welfare cost of inflation under the different bargaining solutions, and we extend the model to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005428388
in the real interest rate and those when it reflected a change in the inflation premium. Finally, we show that the new …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005428402
In this paper, we present a simple random-matching model in which different seasons translate into different propensities to consume and produce. We find that the cyclical creation and destruction of money is beneficial for welfare under a wide variety of circumstances. Our model of seasons can...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005428405
Considering time inconsistency as a problem of irreversible investment brings some neglected points to the fore. Making a policy choice in real time and under current conditions emphasizes the importance of the timing of commitment, the regret over past decisions, and the option value of not...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005428414
long-run rate of inflation? The model's simplicity makes analyzing determinacy issues remarkably transparent. As for long …-run inflation rates, a small, open economy takes the foreign nominal interest rate as a given. To the extent that this rate distorts …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005428416