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Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010258508
This paper uses panel vector autoregressive models and simulations of an estimated DSGE model to explore the reaction of Euro area banks to the global financial crisis. We focus on their interest rate setting behavior in response to standard macroeconomic shocks. Our main empirical finding is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010338974
Forecast models with large cross-sections are often subject to overparameterization leading to unstable parameter estimates and hence inaccurate forecasts. Recent articles suggest that a large Bayesian vector autoregression (BVAR) with sufficient prior information dominates competing approaches....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010342246
In this paper we estimate disaggregated labour demand equations using panel data involving observations across time (1970 - 2007) for twenty-three industries across eleven euro area countries. By using the EU KLEMS database, which provides data across countries, we provide industry-by-industry...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010370168
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010370394
eurozone. By utilizing a unique data set provided by the ECB Bank Lending Survey, we capture the "pure" credit supply effect on … banks reporting considerable tightening on loans leads to around a 7% increase in firms' bond issuance in the eurozone … too. Furthermore, the impact of bank credit tightening on firms' bond issuance is particularly observable in core eurozone …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010349389
The ECB's one size monetary policy is unlikely to fit all euro area members at all times, which raises the question of how much monetary policy stress this causes at the national level. I measure monetary policy stress as the difference between actual ECB interest rates and Taylor-rule implied...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010349426
Output gap estimates at the current edge are subject to severe revisions. This study analyzes whether monetary aggregates can be used to improve the reliability of early output gap estimates as proposed by several theoretical models. A real-time experiment shows that real M1 can improve output...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010248220
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010254495
We empirically assess the impact of competitiveness measured by unit labor costs for current account balances in the Euro area. For this purpose, we estimate a panel with annual observations from 2000 to 2013. Our findings confirm the importance of competitiveness: Higher unit labor costs growth...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011442611