This paper develops a model which embeds the Nash-equilibrium version of McDonald and Solow's (1981) wage-bargaining model into an otherwise standard static equilibrium macro model. Equilibrium unemployment is possible. Real shocks to demand result in pro-cyclical employment and anti-cyclical...

We use a structural vector autoregressive model to estimate the natural rate of unemployment for Hong Kong, Korea, Singapore and Taiwan for the period 1982-2000. Our results show that the dramatic rise in the unemployment rate observed in Hong Kong and Korea was mainly the result of demand...

Inter-regional spillover effects are central to China's growth policy; yet relatively little is known about the strength and duration of these spillovers and whether their characteristics have changed over time. This article examines the spillover of output between the three commonly considered...

The natural rate of unemployment is calculated based on D. M. Lilien's (1982) notion that an increase in the sectoral dispersion of demand results in a rise in unemployment for a given level of aggregate demand. In contrast to earlier applications, the dispersion measure is based on sectoral...

"This article examines how the rule of law and democratic accountability have affected Hong Kong's Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth rate in the past 20 yr. We find that democratic accountability has deteriorated substantially since the changeover of sovereignty in 1997, while the rule of law...

This paper uses a structural vector-autoregressive framework to assess the relative importance of fundamental and speculative components of the Thai Baht with particular emphasis on the dramatic collapse of the currency in 1997. Two alternative models were used for this purpose, loosely based on...