The popularity of volatility derivatives has increased through these years of financial turmoil. In particular, variance and volatility swap seem interesting to analyse due to its growing trading volume. Hence, the aim of this work is to present a full revision of these two volatility...

The more severe a financial crisis, the greater has been the likelihood of its management under an IMFsupported program and shorter the time from crisis onset to program initiation. Political links to the United States have raised program likelihood but have prompted faster response mainly for...

In this paper we study the determinants of financial risk of households. We estimate the probability of default of household using a probit model with two novel variables: (i) a Modified version of the Debt Service Ratio index (MDSR) and (ii) the probability of job layoff of the head of the...

The increase in global economic volatility due to the ongoing crisis in developed countries and its spillovers to the rest of the world has brought renewed relevance to external shocks as a source of business cycles in emerging market economies. This paper analyzes changes in the impact of...

This study analyses what affects the expectations of the private forecasters and, particularly, if they are influenced by the central bank's forecasts. The analysis uses data from the Economic Expectation Survey (EES), conducted by the Central Bank of Chile, and from the Monetary Policy Reports...

This study examines the differences of income, assets, debt and wealth distributions between the U.S. and Chile. The study uses data from the 2008 Survey of Consumer Finance for the U.S. and data from the 2007 Financial Household Survey from Chile. The article reports different features on...

The aim of this paper is to address the problem of dimensionality in a large database for the Chilean economy. An alternative to deal with this problem is through Bayesian regression methods (shrinkage), and the other given by classical literature based on the use of principal components. In...

We evaluate the impact of persistence in volatility over the probability of default in Merton’s credit risk model. Our main conclusion is that a high degree of persistence, as it is observed in equity returns, implies a lower probability of default for those cases where firms possess a high...

We show that a straightforward modification of a trading based test for predictability displays interesting advantages over the Excess Profitability (EP) test proposed by Anatolyev and Gerco when testing the Martingale Difference Hypothesis. Our statistic is called Straightforward Excess...